Emissions Trading

Just another Tax to reach the theoretical CO2 Balance!

Emissions Trading

It seems to be naive applying neo-liberal principles to the climate change discussion. The financial players are not interested in climate change, but solely in profit. For them it is not a matter of finding the best solution to the problem rather maximising their profits. In political science terms Emissions Trading is a "legalised structure" giving individuals and entities the right (by means of authorisation) to contaminate the atmosphere. The gradual renouncement of that right (permit) results in gaining ownership with monetary value. This form of legalised wealth creation (indulgence) is contrary to the classical political theory, postulating that acquisition of property can only be achieved by means of work. In so far emissions trading is just about earning a huge amount of money ultimately to be paid for by the consumer.

How does that work?

Let us have a look at an Australian farmer who had decided to replace a large number of trees that were felled 100 years ago. He did it to prevent erosion, reduce the salinity of the soil and to provide shady grazing areas for his sheep. A CO2 "indulgence dealer" came along and told him that from a CO2 balance sheet point of view his trees were worth 40 Australian dollars per hectare, and gave him a certificate for his positive CO2 balance. The dealer took a 40% commission. He then sold the CO2 certificate (again cashing in on a commission) to a coal power plant. These dealings did not reduce the CO2 emissions by one molecule, but the sale and purchase of the "indulgence letter" contributed to the increase of the gross national product (GNP). Then, of course, the increased price of electricity will be passed on to the consumer and the cycle is perfect. Only winners, just one loser, but he is the weakest link in the chain, namely the end users. In such a way, huge monocultures of alien plants were planted in Australia, disturbing the biological balance and causing more environmental damage than being useful. Of course, the planting and the maintenance of the plants, like the use of fertilisers, also caused CO2 emissions, because the farmers who planted the trees did not use a donkey, but heavy machinery. In conclusion it is clear the CO2 budget has not been balanced at all but the theoretical CO2 balance was preserved.

01

Who's questioning Emissions Trading?

An increasing number of climate experts oppose the use of emissions trading. In February 2009 testimony before Congress, leading US climate scientist James Hansen told Congress that Cap and Trade is "a give-away to special interests, who feel, based on extensive empirical evidence, that they will be able to manipulate the program through their lobbyists. Except for its stealth approach to taxing the public, and its attraction to special interests, Cap and Trade seems to have little merit."

02

What really happened in Europe?

In 2005, the European Union initiated a cap and trade system to curb carbon emissions, but four years in, emissions have gone up, not down! Why? The Europeans awarded big polluters with more free pollution permits than their actual level of carbon emissions, which not only gave them no incentive to reduce emissions, it also caused the price of the permits to collapse. And even after the cap was adjusted, the system was so awash in cheap offset permits from the third world that no emissions reductions in Europe were actually required. Meanwhile, power companies who had chosen to do the cheapest thing to meet their targets buying offset permits passed on costs to their customers as if they were doing the most expensive. Now that's a scam.

Evidence snapshot · carbon emissions

Fossil CO₂ emissions reached a projected new high in 2025

38.1 billion tonnes of CO₂
Projected rise: +1.1% in 2025

The Global Carbon Budget 2025 projected fossil CO₂ emissions of 38.1 billion tonnes for 2025, about 1.1% above 2024. This is a projection published during 2025, not a final audited measurement; the Global Carbon Budget is updated annually as data are revised.

Source: Global Carbon Budget 2025 FAQs.

OZ-ZONE · Editorial update · October 2026

Carbon markets: assess the design and the results

Emissions trading is not automatically effective or ineffective. Its performance depends on the emissions cap, allocation of permits, monitoring and enforcement, market stability, treatment of offsets and the availability of lower-emissions alternatives. Poorly designed offsets can over-credit reductions or pay for activities that would have happened anyway; a well-enforced cap can create a financial incentive to reduce covered emissions.

The European Commission reported in April 2025 that emissions from sectors covered by the EU Emissions Trading System were around 50% below 2005 levels, with a 5% fall in 2024 compared with 2023. This is an official programme assessment, not proof that the trading system alone caused the entire reduction. Changes in renewable generation, fuel prices, industrial output, regulation and economic conditions also matter.

For a fair evaluation, compare verified emissions, the counterfactual, consumer and industry costs, distributional impacts and the quality of offsets. The original page’s blanket description of emissions trading as merely a tax or a guaranteed scam is too broad to cover the evidence.

Sources: European Commission, EU ETS emissions update (4 April 2025) · Global Carbon Budget 2025.

Atmospheric composition · 2025 assessment

Three major greenhouse gases reached high concentrations

CO₂425.6 ppm+15.6 ppm since 2019CH₄1936.3 ppb+70.0 ppb since 2019N₂O339.4 ppb+7.2 ppb since 2019Separate visual tracks; units differ between gases and bar lengths are not cross-comparable.

The 2026 Indicators of Global Climate Change update reports 2025 global concentrations. CO₂, methane and nitrous oxide have different units and atmospheric behaviour; the three bars therefore use separate tracks and should not be compared by length.

Sources: Indicators of Global Climate Change 2025